How trustworthy are government travel advice sites? Are there alternatives?

In How do I know if it's safe to travel to a country at a specific time? , the main suggestion for determining the safety of travel to a certain country are travel advice agencies run by governments.

This may be good for advice about which countries to expect hypothermia in, and which countries to expect heat stroke, but is there the risk of sites not mentioning certain risks due to political interference?

For example, I assume most government travel advice sites will have information on the radiation situation in Japan. But a lot of people (including Japanese citizens) distrust the Japanese government, and I wouldn't be surprised if they suspect the government of not only being willing to misinform its own citizens, but also being willing to stop other governments from providing accurate information about the safety of visiting Japan. (Though they haven't stopped safecast.org from operating)

Another potential source of information are travel guides. But they may have a conflict of interest, in that if they describe a country as being unsafe to travel to, people may decide not to buy guidebooks for that country.

Yet another potential source of information is mainstream media news reports. I don't really trust them, because they may be biased because of the owners, staff or target audience, and also sensationalistic but inaccurate reporting may be good for sales. Also, they may accept money for tourism advertising, which would be another source of conflict of interest.

How well founded are these concerns? Are there alternatives, such as well-funded and professional online resources solely dedicated to the safety of destinations?

Best Answer

I know it's a far stretch, and I am probably the only person visiting the site, but there is a website I found where one can directly ask questions like that.

But jokes aside:

Your local embassy in the respective country should be a good source. If you are really concerned about a specific risk (like rape in India, radiation in Japan, kidnapping in Brazil), I would consider it highly to call the embassy and inquire directly on the issue. I would NOT expect them however to have a website that lists up all the dangers of their host country.
Newspapers and their recent reports are tricky, specially ones from abroad. Some crimes are so prevalent in a country that foreign media simply do not report them anymore.
Websites: Google "Crime stats [country]" and Wikipedia are really good sources. While they might not give you the data from last Saturday, I consider them a great resource to compare your safety to other places that I know personally.

I think the biggest issue with this type of information is the diversity that can exist in a country together with the diversity of travelers. Example: Japanese tourists abroad are much more likely to be victims of fraud committed by other Japanese citizens since they are overly trusted due to the generally poor language skills of Japanese tourists. Also it was reported that someone in Hong Kong, which I consider one of the safest places on earth, was mugged last year after somehow revealing in a bar that he had a lot of cash on him. So who you are and exactly where in a country you go might have a huge impact on how dangerous it actually is, be it environmentally or crime-related.