risk of flooding in petra in november

risk of flooding in petra in november - Man in Black T-shirt Climbing on Rocky Mountain

My tentative plans have me in Egypt from November 12 - November 23. I was thinking it could be cool to visit Petra before hand. Maybe like November 9 - November 11 or some such.

The concern I have with this is... last year, on November 10, Petra flooded and a bunch of tourists died and a bunch more had to be evacuated:

https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-middle-east-46162772/deadly-flash-floods-hit-jordan-s-iconic-city-of-petra

According to wikipedia, the average rainfall in Petra in November is 0.6in. It's hard to imagine flash flooding with that little rain but idk.

My question is... how likely is Petra to flood in early November? Were the flash floods from last year an aberration or are they fairly common in early November?






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Intense Flooding in Petra, Jordan (Nov 9, 2018)




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Images: tasos mylonas, Kammeran Gonzalez-Keola, Pixabay, Gladson Xavier