The infamous "Balance of Probabilities" with UK visas and Immigration
For those who have been refused entry clearance or leave to enter the UK, you very likely have come across the term, balance of the probabilities in the refusal.
A legal standard, applied in many jurisdictions for deciding the outcome of civil disputes, which requires that a dispute be decided in favor of the party whose claims are more likely to be true.
Basically greater than 50% likelihood.
Having an quantitative background, I tend to like clean/well defined and to some degree calculable/quantifiable outcomes. My question is, does there exist a list of criteria which are weighted when determining the balance of probabilities in UK immigration entry clearance/leave to enter situations? Is this purely qualitative?
I ask because there are several cases here and elsewhere of applicants who appear overwhelmingly qualified to be approved on all other criteria but one, but ultimately end up being refused based on that one criteria.
Evaluation criteria taken into account can be found in the guidance.
Finally and most importantly, is it a case where any one negative criteria (e.g not having a job, funds parking) is automatically given a much heavier weighting than favorable criteria and by itself alone tilts the balance of probabilities to the negative?
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How much bank balance is required for UK visa?
You must have at least \xa34,000 in your savings. Anything less than that can raise questions and lead to visa refusal. Again, UK Visas and Immigration does not specify what is acceptable in terms of funds.How much bank balance is required for UK spouse visa?
The requirements that an applicant must meet in order to obtain a spouse visa are set out in Appendix FM of the Immigration Rules. These rules contain a minimum income requirement of at least \xa318,600 or a cash savings requirement of at least \xa362,500 (or a combination of both).How much money do I need to make to sponsor an immigrant UK?
You and your partner must have a combined income of at least \xa318,600 a year if: you're applying as a partner. you want to settle in the UK (get 'indefinite leave to remain') within 5 years.Which countries can enter UK without visa?
Nationals of countries/territories who do not need a visa to enter the UK: All EU countries, Andorra, Antigua and Barbuda, Argentina, Australia, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Botswana, Brazil, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Grenada, Guatemala, Honduras, Hong Kong, Israel, Japan, Kiribati, Macau, Malaysia, ...Sources: Stack Exchange - This article follows the attribution requirements of Stack Exchange and is licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0.
Images: Sinitta Leunen, John Fisher, Brett Jordan, Lina Kivaka